Genetic history of hepatitis C virus in Pakistan

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 3a accounts for ∼80% of HCV infections in Pakistan, where ∼10 million people are HCV-infected. Here, we report analysis of the genetic heterogeneity of HCV NS3 and NS5b subgenomic regions from genotype 3a variants obtained from Pakistan. Phylogenetic analyses showed that Pakistani genotype 3a variants were as genetically diverse as global variants, with extensive intermixing. Bayesian estimates showed that the most recent ancestor for genotype 3a in Pakistan was last extant in ∼1896-1914 C.E. (range: 1851-1932). This genotype experienced a population expansion starting from ∼1905 to ∼1970 after which the effective population leveled. Death/birth models suggest that HCV 3a has reached saturating diversity with decreasing turnover rate and positive extinction. Taken together, these observations are consistent with a long and complex history of HCV 3a infection in Pakistan.