Comparison Between the Four-kallikrein Panel and Prostate Health Index for Predicting Prostate Cancer

Tobias Nordström1, Andrew Vickers2, Melissa Assel2

  • 1Department of Clinical Sciences, Danderyd's Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

European Urology
|August 25, 2014
PubMed

Insights

The four-kallikrein panel and Prostate Health Index (PHI) similarly improve prostate cancer (PCa) prediction. These blood tests can help reduce unnecessary biopsies compared to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening.

Area of Science:

  • Urology
  • Oncology
  • Biomarker Discovery

Background:

  • Prostate cancer (PCa) screening using prostate-specific antigen (PSA) has limitations.
  • The four-kallikrein panel and Prostate Health Index (PHI) show promise in improving PCa prediction.
  • Direct comparisons between the four-kallikrein panel and PHI are lacking.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the predictive performance of the four-kallikrein panel and PHI for PCa in an independent cohort.
  • To evaluate the ability of these biomarkers to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a population-based cohort of 531 men with PSA levels between 3-15 ng/ml undergoing first-time prostate biopsy.
  • Statistical modeling to predict PCa status, including calibration curves and area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC).
  • Decision curve analysis to assess the net benefit and percentage of saved biopsies.

Main Results:

  • The four-kallikrein panel and PHI demonstrated similar AUCs for predicting any-grade PCa (69.0% and 70.4%, respectively) and high-grade PCa (71.8% and 71.1%, respectively).
  • Both models significantly outperformed a base model using PSA and age (p<0.0001).
  • Utilizing a 10% predicted risk cut-off, both biomarkers could save 29% of biopsies, with a 10% risk of delayed diagnosis for high-grade cancers.

Conclusions:

  • The four-kallikrein panel and PHI offer comparable improvements in predicting PCa and high-grade PCa.
  • These blood tests represent valuable tools to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies compared to PSA screening alone.
  • Both biomarkers provide an important new option for optimizing prostate cancer diagnosis and reducing patient harm.
Abstract