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Diurnal temperature range and short-term mortality in large US communities
Youn-Hee Lim1, Colleen E Reid, Jennifer K Mann
1Institute of Environmental Medicine, Seoul National University of Medical Research Center, 103 Daehakro, Jongro-gu, Seoul, 110-799, South Korea, limyounhee@gmail.com.
Diurnal temperature range (DTR) significantly increases nonaccidental mortality in the US, particularly cardiovascular and respiratory deaths in the elderly. Vulnerability varies by US region, with Southern California showing the highest impact.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Diurnal temperature range (DTR) is linked to mortality in Asia.
- Limited research exists on DTR's impact on mortality in North America.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between DTR and mortality in the United States.
- To identify specific populations and regions most affected by DTR.
Main Methods:
- Utilized daily mortality and environmental data from 95 US communities (1987-2000) via the National Morbidity Mortality Air Pollution Study (NMMAPS).
- Employed Poisson generalized linear models for community-specific DTR effect assessment.
- Applied two-level normal independent sampling estimation for region- and age-specific effects.
Main Results:
- A 1°C increase in DTR was associated with a 0.27% rise in nonaccidental mortality across the US.
- The elderly (over 65) showed increased cardiovascular (0.39%) and respiratory (0.33%) mortality with DTR changes.
- Southern California exhibited the highest DTR impact on mortality, while the Northwest and Upper Midwest showed the smallest.
Conclusions:
- DTR is significantly associated with increased nonaccidental mortality in the US.
- The elderly population is most vulnerable to DTR-related cardiovascular and respiratory mortality.
- Findings highlight regional variations in DTR's health impacts across the US.
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