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Published on: January 5, 2018
[Risk and Protective Factors Among Sexual Offenders: Relapse Prediction and Changes During Treatment]
Safiye Tozdan1, Peer Briken1, Dahlnym Yoon1
1Institut für Sexualforschung und Forensische Psychiatrie, Universitätsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf.
Objective:
Investigation of two questions: first, whether sexual/forensic therapists are able to make valid assessments for future criminal behavior and second, whether their treatment changes factors relevant for new offences.
Methods:
First, the predictive validity for recidivism of HCR-20 and SAPROF were tested. Second, the dynamic scales of both instruments were analyzed concerning changes during treatment process.
Results:
Both instruments showed good predictive validity. The dynamic scales scores of HCR-20 did not change, whereas the I- and M-scale scores of SAPROF increased statistically significant.
Conclusion:
The therapists were able to identify high-risk clients and seemed to mainly focus their interventions towards factors associated with new offences.
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