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Published on: February 22, 2019
Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens
James O Lloyd-Smith1, Sebastian Funk2, Angela R McLean3
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA; Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
None:
Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.
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