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Retzius-Sparing Robot-Assisted Radical Prostatectomy
Published on: May 19, 2022
Utility of Risk Models in Decision Making After Radical Prostatectomy: Lessons from a Natural History Cohort of
Ashley E Ross1, Kasra Yousefi2, Elai Davicioni2
1James Buchanan Brady Urological Institute, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Risk models can help guide prostate cancer treatment decisions after surgery, reducing overtreatment for men with adverse pathologic features (APFs). These models are less effective for patients who experience biochemical recurrence (BCR).
Area of Science:
- Urology
- Oncology
- Medical Decision Making
Background:
- Adjuvant radiation therapy is often recommended for men with adverse pathologic features (APFs) after radical prostatectomy (RP).
- This study evaluates men treated with RP alone until metastasis to assess treatment decision-making tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if clinicopathologic risk models can effectively guide postoperative therapeutic decisions for prostate cancer patients.
- To evaluate the performance of risk models in predicting metastasis and recurrence.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 3089 men with intermediate- or high-risk prostate cancer undergoing RP.
- Inclusion criteria: undetectable post-surgery PSA and no prior therapy before metastasis.
- Adverse pathologic features (APFs) defined as pT3 disease or positive surgical margins.
- Statistical analysis included AUC for risk factor discrimination and competing risks analysis for metastasis and BCR.
Main Results:
- 43% of the cohort had APFs; 6% experienced metastasis within 10 years post-RP.
- Men with APFs had a 7.5% cumulative incidence of metastasis at 10 years.
- Risk models (CAPRA-S, Eggener) showed good discrimination for metastasis prediction (AUC ~0.8) in the APF population.
- Model performance decreased significantly for predicting metastasis after biochemical recurrence (BCR).
Conclusions:
- Clinicopathologic risk models can aid in guiding adjuvant therapy decisions post-RP, potentially reducing overtreatment.
- Utilizing risk model cut points could spare a significant percentage of men from unnecessary treatment.
- Risk model utility is diminished in patients who have already experienced BCR.
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