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Updated: Mar 31, 2026

Cholesterol Efflux Assay
Published on: March 6, 2012
LDL cholesterol is not a good marker of cardiovascular risk in Type 1 diabetes
C Hero1, A-M Svensson2, P Gidlund2
1Department of Medicine, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Insights
In Type 1 diabetes, LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) is not a reliable predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL-C) appears more effective for assessing CVD risk in primary prevention.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Metabolic Diseases
Background:
- Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a known cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor.
- The predictive value of LDL-C and the total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL-C) for CVD in individuals with Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate LDL-C and TC/HDL-C as predictors of CVD in a large cohort of individuals with T1D.
- To determine if specific cut-off points for LDL-C are effective in risk stratification for CVD in T1D.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 30,778 individuals with T1D was monitored from 2003-2006 to December 2011.
- Cox regression analyses were used to assess the association between LDL-C, TC/HDL-C, and fatal/non-fatal CVD events.
- Models were adjusted for traditional CVD risk factors, and analyses were stratified by lipid-lowering medication use and age/CVD history.
Main Results:
- LDL-C was not a significant predictor of CVD across various subgroups, including those on lipid-lowering medication or with a history of CVD.
- The TC/HDL-C ratio demonstrated a significant association with CVD risk, particularly in individuals without lipid-lowering medication and those aged 40 years or older.
- Higher octiles of TC/HDL-C were significant predictors of CVD in specific subgroups, whereas LDL-C did not show significant predictive value in any analyzed group.
Conclusions:
- LDL-C is not a reliable predictor of CVD in individuals with T1D in a clinical practice setting.
- There is no evidence to support a specific LDL-C cut-off point (e.g., < 2.6 mmol/l) for CVD risk assessment in this population.
- The TC/HDL-C ratio appears to be a more robust marker for CVD risk assessment, especially for primary prevention in individuals with T1D.
Aim:
LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) is considered an important cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor. Less is known in Type 1 diabetes. We assessed LDL-C and total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL-C) as predictors of CVD in Type 1 diabetes.
Methods:
The study monitored 30 778 people with Type 1 diabetes, baseline 2003-2006, to 31 December 2011. Cox regression analyses were performed with LDL-C and TC/HDL-C as predictors of fatal/non-fatal CVD. Models were adjusted for traditional CVD risk factors.
Results:
Hazard ratios (HR) (with 95% CI) per 1 mmol/l increase in LDL-C for CVD were 1.09 (1.01-1.18) in people without lipid-lowering medication and 1.02 (0.95-1.09) in people with lipid-lowering medication (P = 0.02 and 0.65). In people aged 40 years or older having a CVD risk factor, and in people with a history of CVD, HR was 1.07 (0.99-1.16) and 1.02 (0.92-1.13) (P = 0.07 and 0.66). HR per 1 unit increase in TC/HDL-C was 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in people without lipid-lowering medication and 1.08 (1.02-1.15) in people with lipid-lowering medication (P < 0.001 and 0.01). For people aged 40 or older and people with a history of CVD, HR was 1.16 (1.09-1.24) and 1.04 (0.95-1.14) (P < 0.001 and 0.43). Broken down into octiles, LDL-C was not a significant predictor of CVD in any group. Higher octiles of TC/HDL-C were significant predictors for CVD in people without lipid-lowering medication and in those aged 40 years or older.
Conclusion:
In this study of people with Type 1 diabetes in clinical practice, LDL-C was not a good predictor of CVD. We found no support for an LDL-C cut-off point < 2.6 mmol/l. TC/HDL-C seems more reliable as a marker for CVD risk when considering primary prevention.
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