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Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy-related Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score For Predicting Outcome
1Stroke Clinical Research Unit, Department of Neurology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guo Xue Xiang, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, P. R. China. wyplmh@hotmail.com.
Insights
The original intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) score is less reliable for predicting outcomes in cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA)-related ICH. A modified score demonstrates improved prediction accuracy for mortality and functional outcomes in these patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Neurosurgery
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) scoring systems are crucial for predicting patient outcomes.
- Existing ICH scores were developed for primary ICH and may not accurately reflect outcomes in specific etiologies like cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive performance of the original ICH Score for mortality and functional outcomes in patients with CAA-related ICH.
- To develop and validate a modified ICH score to improve prediction accuracy for CAA-related ICH.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 360 patients with CAA-related ICH (defined by Boston Criteria) was recruited from multiple hospitals.
- Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of 3-month mortality and good functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 0-2).
- Model discrimination was assessed using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for both original and modified scores.
Main Results:
- The original ICH Score showed limited reliability in predicting mortality (AUC=0.69) and good outcome (AUC=0.67) in CAA-related ICH.
- A modified CAA-related ICH score, incorporating Glasgow Coma Scale, age, intraventricular hemorrhage, and midline shift, demonstrated good discrimination.
- The modified score achieved AUCs of 0.87 for mortality and 0.80 for good outcome in the derivation cohort, and 0.89 and 0.81 in the validation cohort, respectively.
Conclusions:
- The original ICH Score is less reliable for predicting 3-month mortality and functional outcomes in patients with CAA-related ICH.
- A modified ICH score significantly improves the prediction of clinical outcomes at 3 months for CAA-related ICH patients.
- This modified score offers a more accurate prognostic tool for managing CAA-related ICH.
Abstract:
The existing intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) scores were based on the clinical and anatomical parameters of all primary ICH. We aimed to study whether the original ICH Score can predict cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA)-related ICH mortality and functional outcome and whether modified score can improve the predictions. The patients with ICH were consecutively recruited from 21 tertiary and secondary hospitals across Mainland China from January 2012 to December 2014. CAA-related ICH was defined as Boston Criteria. Logistic regression was performed in the derivation cohort of patients with CAA-related ICH to identify predictors of 3-month mortality and good outcome [modified Rankin score (mRS) of 0-2 at 3 months]. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to assess model discrimination. A total of 360 CAA-related ICH patients were included. According to AUCs, the original ICH Score was less reliable predictor for mortality (AUCs=0.69) and good outcome (AUCs=0.67) in CAA- related patients. The range of CAA-related ICH score values is 0 to 7. The scale consist of four clinical items and the score points were assigned based on the Glasgow Coma Scale score on admission, age, presence of intraventricular hemorrhage, and presence of midline shift. CAA-related ICH score showed good discrimination in the derivation cohort (AUCs: 0.87 for mortality; 0.80 for good clinical outcome) and validation cohort (AUCs: 0.89 for mortality; 0.81 for good clinical outcome). The original ICH Score may be less reliable in predicting mortality and good clinical outcome at 3 months for CAA-related ICH patients. The modified scores improve its ability to predict clinical outcome at 3 months for CAA-related ICH.
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