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Migration and Marriage: Modeling the Joint Process.

Joy Bohyun Jang1, John B Casterline2, Anastasia Snyder3

  • 1University of Michigan, 2345 ISR 426 Thompson, Ann Arbor, MI 48104, joyjang@umich.edu.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Marriage increases the likelihood of migration, but migration does not affect marriage likelihood. Unobserved factors bias estimates of these life course events when not accounted for.

Keywords:
MigrationNLSY79a multi-process modelmarriage

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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Demography
  • Economics

Background:

  • Previous studies on migration and marriage assumed simple dependency structures.
  • Unobserved factors may influence both migration and marriage, distorting causal impact estimates.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Investigate the inter-dependency between migration and marriage in the U.S.
  • Examine the influence of unobserved common factors on migration and marriage estimates.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 data.
  • Estimated a multi-process model allowing simultaneous analysis of migration and marriage.
  • Incorporated random effects for individuals experiencing multiple events.

Main Results:

  • Unobserved factors significantly bias estimates when not considered.
  • Marriage significantly increases the hazard rate of migration.
  • Migration does not significantly affect the hazard rate of marriage.

Conclusions:

  • Ignoring inter-dependency between life course events leads to inaccurate effect estimations.
  • Accounting for unobserved factors is crucial for understanding migration and marriage dynamics.