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Published on: January 5, 2018
Cumulative risk hypothesis: Predicting and preventing child maltreatment recidivism
David Solomon1, Kia Åsberg2, Samuel Peer1
1Central Michigan University, United States.
Child Protective Services (CPS) interventions like parent psychotherapy can reduce recidivism risk. However, child removal may increase risk, and cumulative risk factors are key predictors of maltreatment recurrence.
Area of Science:
- Child Welfare
- Criminology
- Psychology
Background:
- Child Protective Services (CPS) interventions aim to prevent child abuse and neglect recidivism.
- Previous research identified parent psychotherapy and child removal as predictors of recidivism.
- Specific risk factors for maltreatment recidivism require further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate cumulative risk as a predictor of maltreatment recidivism.
- To examine the relationship between parent psychotherapy and recidivism.
- To test if cumulative risk mediates the effect of child removal on recidivism.
Main Methods:
- Hierarchical logistic regression analysis was used.
- Data were collected from Child Protective Services (CPS) case files.
- Predictors included intervention variables and cumulative risk factors.
Main Results:
- Cumulative risk significantly predicted maltreatment recidivism.
- Parent psychotherapy was associated with reduced recidivism risk.
- Child psychotherapy also predicted reduced recidivism.
- Child removal was linked to increased recidivism, but not mediated by cumulative risk.
Conclusions:
- Cumulative risk is a significant predictor of child maltreatment recidivism.
- Therapeutic interventions for parents and children show promise in reducing recidivism.
- The relationship between child removal and recidivism requires further exploration beyond cumulative risk.
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