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Extreme weather caused by concurrent cyclone, front and thunderstorm occurrences
Andrew J Dowdy1, Jennifer L Catto2
1Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, 3007, Australia.
Extreme weather events are often caused by combined cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms. The most severe precipitation and wind risks occur when these three phenomena happen concurrently.
Area of Science:
- Meteorology
- Climatology
- Atmospheric Science
Background:
- Extreme weather events, including severe precipitation and high winds, are significant global concerns.
- Individual meteorological phenomena like cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms are well-studied.
- The combined influence of these phenomena on extreme weather remains underexplored, representing a knowledge gap.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically analyze the combined effects of cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms on extreme weather.
- To identify specific storm combinations that lead to extreme precipitation and wind events globally.
- To enhance understanding of the interplay between different meteorological phenomena in extreme weather causation.
Main Methods:
- A systematic analysis of seven distinct storm combination types was conducted.
- The study examined the co-occurrence of cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms.
- Regional data was analyzed to correlate storm combinations with extreme precipitation and wind events.
Main Results:
- The research identified storm combinations most frequently associated with extreme weather globally.
- A triple storm type, involving concurrent cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms, showed the highest risk.
- This combination was strongly linked to extreme precipitation and extreme wind speeds worldwide.
Conclusions:
- Concurrent meteorological phenomena play a crucial role in driving extreme weather events.
- Understanding these combined influences is vital for improving extreme weather prediction and mitigation.
- The study provides new insights into the complex relationships between cyclones, fronts, and thunderstorms.
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