Patterns and Trends in Grade Retention Rates in the United States, 1995-2010.
John Robert Warren1, Emily Hoffman2, Megan Andrew3
1Department of Sociology, Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota.
Summary
Grade retention rates, while previously showing disparities, have significantly declined since 2005. This study refines measurement for tracking educational and socioeconomic impacts.
Area of Science:
- Education Policy
- Sociology of Education
- Educational Measurement
Background:
- Grade retention has significant educational and socioeconomic consequences.
- Actual rates of grade retention are not well-documented.
- Previous measures of grade retention exist but require updates and validation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide updated and technically improved estimates of grade retention rates in the U.S.
- To validate a new measure of grade retention against external criteria.
- To analyze disparities in retention rates across demographic and socioeconomic groups.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the Current Population Surveys (1995-2010).
- Built upon and technically improved Hauser et al.'s (2007) grade retention measure.
- Validated the refined measure against external criteria.
Main Results:
- Identified significant disparities in grade retention rates based on sex, race/ethnicity, geographic locale, and socioeconomic status.
- Observed a marked decline in both absolute grade retention rates and retention rate disparities since 2005.
- The refined measure provides a robust tool for analyzing retention trends.
Conclusions:
- The study provides a more accurate understanding of grade retention rates and their associated disparities.
- Recent trends indicate a decrease in grade retention and related inequalities.
- The developed measures can be used to model the influence of economic and policy factors on grade retention.
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