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Examining Predictive Validity of Oral Reading Fluency Slope in Upper Elementary Grades Using Quantile Regression.
Eunsoo Cho1, Philip Capin2, Greg Roberts2
11 Michigan State University, USA.
Journal of Learning Disabilities
|August 1, 2017
Summary
Oral reading fluency (ORF) slope effectively predicts sentence-level reading comprehension for struggling readers in interventions. However, its predictive power for passage-level comprehension varies, especially for students with the most persistent reading difficulties.
Area of Science:
- Education
- Psychology
- Linguistics
Background:
- Progress monitoring is crucial in multitiered instructional models to assess student response to intervention.
- Oral reading fluency (ORF) is a common measure for monitoring reading progress.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive validity of ORF slope on reading comprehension outcomes.
- To examine this relationship for fifth-grade struggling readers in an intensive reading intervention.
Main Methods:
- Utilized quantile regression models to analyze data from 102 fifth-grade struggling readers.
- Controlled for initial ORF performance and student reading skill levels.
Main Results:
- ORF slope significantly predicted sentence-level fluency and comprehension, irrespective of initial reading skills.
- ORF slope's prediction of passage-level comprehension varied by student reading ability.
- ORF slope uniquely predicted comprehension for struggling readers with higher posttest performance but not for those with the most severe difficulties.
Conclusions:
- ORF slope is a valuable predictor of certain reading comprehension measures for struggling readers.
- The utility of ORF slope in predicting passage-level comprehension is nuanced and depends on the severity of reading challenges.
- Further research should explore alternative progress monitoring tools for students with persistent reading deficits.
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