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Best Practices for Testing the Predictive Validity of Ideal Partner Preference-Matching.
Paul W Eastwick1, Eli J Finkel2, Jeffry A Simpson3
11 University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin
|June 28, 2018
Summary
Simple correlations between ideal partner traits and actual partners do not prove that preferences guide partner selection. Rigorous analysis is needed to understand when ideal-matching truly predicts relationship outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Social Psychology
- Relationship Science
Background:
- Many psychological theories investigate how similarity between variables predicts outcomes.
- The ideal standards model suggests that matching ideal partner preferences with a partner's traits influences relationship evaluations.
- Testing this model requires analyzing the interaction between ideals and partner traits (A × B → C).
Purpose of the Study:
- To address the misconception that samplewide correlations between ideals and partner traits (A-B correlations) demonstrate that ideals guide partner selection.
- To highlight the limitations of A-B correlations in validating the ideal standards model.
- To review appropriate analytical strategies (A × B → C) for testing the predictive validity of ideal-matching.
Main Methods:
- Critically examining the inferential leap from samplewide correlations (A-B) to evidence of guided partner selection.
- Reviewing and recommending rigorous analytical strategies (A × B → C) for testing ideal-matching hypotheses.
- Discussing alternative explanations for observed samplewide A-B correlations.
Main Results:
- Samplewide correlations between a participant's ideals and their partner's traits (A-B correlations) do not inherently indicate that ideals guided partner selection.
- At least six alternative explanations can account for positive A-B correlations.
- A-B correlations alone are insufficient evidence for the predictive validity of ideal-matching.
Conclusions:
- Scholars must employ appropriate A × B → C analytic strategies to rigorously test the ideal standards model.
- Understanding the conditions under which ideal-matching predicts relationship outcomes requires moving beyond simple correlational evidence.
- Correctly applying advanced statistical methods is crucial for advancing research on partner preferences and relationship science.
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