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Prior shared success predicts victory in team competitions.
Satyam Mukherjee1,2,3, Yun Huang4, Julia Neidhardt5
1Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA. satyam.mukherjee@gmail.com.
Prior shared success between teammates significantly boosts team winning odds across various sports, outweighing individual talent. This finding highlights the importance of teamwork and successful past collaborations in achieving victory.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Team Dynamics
- Game Theory
Background:
- The "superstar effect" posits that individual talent enhances team performance.
- Existing research suggests that shared experiences and relationships improve team coordination and strategy.
- The impact of qualitative within-team relationships on competitive outcomes remains under-explored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the influence of qualitative within-team relationships on sports team performance.
- To determine if prior shared success between teammates impacts the probability of winning.
- To analyze this association across diverse professional sports and a popular online game.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of historical performance data from professional basketball (NBA), football (English Premier League), cricket (IPL), and baseball (MLB).
- Inclusion of data from the multiplayer online battle game Defense of the Ancients 2 to broaden the scope.
- Focus on the 'prior shared success' aspect of qualitative teammate relationships, examining past collaborative wins and failures.
Main Results:
- Prior shared success among teammates was found to significantly increase the likelihood of a team winning.
- This effect was consistent across all analyzed professional sports leagues and the online game.
- The positive impact of prior shared success on winning probability was observed to be independent of individual player talent.
Conclusions:
- Qualitative interactions, specifically prior shared success, are a critical factor in team performance.
- Team cohesion and history of successful collaboration are more influential than individual talent alone.
- Findings suggest that optimizing team composition should consider the history of successful partnerships between players.
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