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    This study introduces a Dirty-data-based Alarm Prediction (DAP) method for self-optimizing optical networks (SOONs). The DAP method effectively predicts network alarms even with imperfect data, enhancing network reliability.

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    Area of Science:

    • Optical Network Engineering
    • Machine Learning Applications
    • Network Reliability and Management

    Background:

    • Large-scale optical networks generate performance and alarm data that is often incomplete, inconsistent, and contains errors, especially from older equipment.
    • This 'dirty' data, even after preprocessing, presents challenges like unbalanced feature distributions, limiting the effectiveness of standard machine learning algorithms for alarm prediction.
    • Accurate alarm prediction is critical for network administrators to implement preventive measures and ensure network stability.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop and demonstrate a novel machine learning-based method for predicting alarms in large-scale optical networks despite data quality issues.
    • To address the challenge of dirty, unbalanced datasets in optical network alarm prediction.
    • To improve the reliability and self-optimizing capabilities of optical networks through accurate, timely alarm prediction.

    Main Methods:

    • Development of a Dirty-data-based Alarm Prediction (DAP) method specifically designed for optical networks.
    • Utilizing machine learning techniques to handle incomplete, inconsistent, and unbalanced datasets.
    • Testing the DAP method on a commercial large-scale field topology comprising 274 nodes and 487 links.

    Main Results:

    • The proposed DAP method demonstrated high accuracy in predicting various types of alarms.
    • The method proved effective even when dealing with inherently 'dirty' and unbalanced data typical of optical network environments.
    • Validation was performed on a substantial real-world network topology, confirming practical applicability.

    Conclusions:

    • The DAP method offers a robust solution for alarm prediction in large-scale optical networks, even with challenging data quality.
    • This approach enhances the potential for self-optimizing optical networks (SOONs) by enabling proactive issue resolution.
    • The findings highlight the importance of tailored machine learning strategies for managing complex network data and improving operational efficiency.