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Updated: Jan 23, 2026

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Published on: July 29, 2020
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Scaling trajectories of cities
1The Institute for Analytical Sociology, Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University, SE-601 74 Norrköping, Sweden marc.keuschnigg@liu.se.
Summary
Urban scaling research shows larger cities have higher outputs. However, only dominant cities exhibit robust superlinear growth trajectories as their populations increase.
Area of Science:
- Urban economics
- Economic geography
- Spatial economics
Background:
- Urban scaling theory posits that agglomeration effects lead to superlinear scaling in cross-sectional data.
- This paradigm predicts parallel superlinear growth trajectories for individual cities over time, a prediction yet to be rigorously tested.
Purpose of the Study:
- To empirically test the dynamic scaling predictions of urban scaling theory.
- To investigate the relationship between city size, population growth, and per capita wages in Swedish labor market areas.
Main Methods:
- Utilized geocoded microdata for 73 Swedish labor market areas from 1990-2012.
- Approximated the city-size effect on per capita wage to analyze urban scaling dynamics.
Main Results:
- Confirmed a superlinear scaling regime for all Swedish agglomerations.
- Demonstrated that superlinear growth trajectories are robust primarily for cities holding dominant positions in the urban hierarchy.
- Observed a 'rich-get-richer' dynamic at the system level.
Conclusions:
- The study validates the superlinear scaling of urban agglomerations in Sweden.
- Dynamic superlinear growth is contingent on a city's hierarchical position, not universal.
- Findings highlight the importance of urban hierarchy in understanding city growth dynamics.
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