Artificial intelligence based ensemble model for prediction of vehicular traffic noise

Vehicular traffic noise is the main source of noise pollution in major cities around the globe. A reliable and accurate method for the estimation of vehicular traffic noise is therefore essential for creating a healthy noise-free environment. In this study, 2 linear (simple average and weighted average) and 2-nonlinear (neural network and neuro-fuzzy) ensemble models were developed by combining the outputs of three Artificial Intelligence (AI) based non-linear models; Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and one Multilinear regression (MLR) model to enhance the performance of the single black box models in predicting vehicular traffic noise of Nicosia city, North Cyprus. In this way, first a nonlinear sensitivity analysis was applied to select the most relevant and dominant input parameters of the traffic data obtained from 12 observation points in the study area. The most dominant parameters in order of their importance were determined to be number of cars, number of van/pickups, number of trucks, average speed and number of buses. Classifying the number of vehicles into five categories before feeding the traffic data into the AI models was observed to improve performance of the single models up to 29% in the verification phase. Out of the four ensembles models developed, the nonlinear ANFIS ensemble was found to be the most robust by improving the performance of ANFIS, FFNN, SVR and MLR models in the verification stage by 11%, 19%, 21% and 31%, respectively.