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Age is a predictor for mortality after blunt splenic injury
Elizabeth Warnack1, Marko Bukur1, Spiros Frangos1
1NYU School of Medicine/Bellevue Hospital, NYU School of Medicine Department of Surgery, 462 First Avenue, NY, 10016, USA.
American Journal of Surgery
|February 17, 2020
Summary
Geriatric trauma patients with high-grade blunt splenic injury (BSI) face increased mortality risk, especially if non-operative management fails. Advanced age independently predicts death, with surgery significantly increasing mortality in elderly and advanced age groups.
Area of Science:
- Trauma Surgery
- Geriatric Medicine
- Emergency Medicine
Background:
- Geriatric trauma incidence is rising, yet optimal management for high-grade blunt splenic injury (BSI) in the elderly remains debated.
- Existing data on survival rates for non-operative versus operative management in this demographic are inconsistent.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze mortality risk in geriatric patients with high-grade BSI, comparing operative versus non-operative management strategies.
- To investigate the independent association of age with mortality in blunt splenic injury.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of the National Trauma Database (2014-2015) for isolated, high-grade (AIS ≥ 3) BSI.
- Stratification of patients into non-elderly (<65), elderly (65-79), and advanced age (≥80) groups.
- Comparison of outcomes across non-operative, initial operative, and failed non-operative management within each age group, using multivariable logistic regression for mortality association.
Main Results:
- Mortality following failed non-operative management was significantly higher in elderly (22.2%) and advanced age (50%) groups compared to non-elderly (2%).
- Age was independently associated with mortality (AOR 1.02; p < .01).
- Elderly patients requiring surgery had over 3x increased mortality (AOR 3.39), and advanced age patients had over 8x increased mortality (AOR 8.1) compared to non-elderly.
Conclusions:
- Age is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with blunt splenic injury, irrespective of management strategy.
- Surgical intervention in elderly and advanced age patients with high-grade BSI is associated with substantially higher mortality rates.

