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Urbanization and carbon emissions: a panel threshold analysis.

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This study finds an optimal urbanization level for newly industrialized countries (NIC) to reduce carbon dioxide emissions (CE). Beyond this threshold, urbanization negatively impacts CE, offering policy insights for sustainable development.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Economics
  • Urban Planning

Background:

  • Growing concerns over carbon dioxide emissions (CE) in newly industrialized countries (NIC).
  • The complex relationship between urbanization (UB) and environmental impact requires nuanced analysis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if an optimal level of urbanization exists for reducing carbon dioxide emissions in NICs.
  • To identify policy implications for sustainable urban development and emission reduction.

Main Methods:

  • Econometric analysis of urbanization levels and carbon dioxide emissions in NICs.
  • Identification of a threshold effect for urbanization on CE.

Main Results:

  • Urbanization shows a positive effect on CE below a specific threshold.
  • Urbanization demonstrates a negative effect on CE above this identified threshold.
  • Industrialization, economic growth, and energy consumption positively impact CE; renewable energy shows a negative effect.

Conclusions:

  • An optimal urbanization level can be identified to mitigate CE in NICs.
  • Policy recommendations include balanced rural-urban development and promoting migration to smaller cities.
  • Transitioning to low-carbon energy sources is crucial for sustainable economic development and emission reduction.