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Modeling Uncertainty for the Double Standard Model Using a Fuzzy Inference System.
Noelia Torres1, Leonardo Trujillo1, Yazmin Maldonado1
1Departamento de Ingenieria Electrica y Electronica, Instituto Tecnologico de Tijuana, Tijuana, Mexico.
This study addresses ambulance location problems by incorporating travel time uncertainty. A fuzzy inference system (FIS) approach improves demand coverage compared to traditional methods, enhancing emergency response planning.
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Area of Science:
- Operations Research
- Public Health Management
- Computer Science
Background:
- The ambulance location problem seeks optimal placement for maximum demand coverage.
- The double standard model (DSM) is a common approach, but often overlooks travel time variability.
- Uncertainty in travel times can significantly impact emergency service effectiveness.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of travel time uncertainty on the ambulance location problem.
- To develop and evaluate a fuzzy inference system (FIS) for handling this uncertainty.
- To compare the FIS approach with traditional DSM methods.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the double standard model (DSM) framework.
- Introduced uncertainty in travel times using triangular fuzzy sets.
- Developed a novel fuzzy inference system (FIS) with a rule base derived from problem characteristics.
- Solved linear programs to determine optimal ambulance placement under different uncertainty scenarios.
Main Results:
- Considering travel time uncertainty significantly alters optimal ambulance location solutions.
- The fuzzy inference system (FIS) approach demonstrated superior performance in maximizing demand coverage.
- Solutions incorporating uncertainty provided more robust and reliable outcomes for emergency services.
Conclusions:
- Uncertainty in ambulance travel times is a critical factor in location planning.
- The proposed fuzzy inference system (FIS) offers a reliable and effective strategy for the ambulance location problem.
- This approach can significantly improve decision-making for emergency medical services by accounting for real-world travel variability.