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Integrated risk prioritization and action selection for cold chain.

Cansu Dagsuyu1, Onur Derse2, Murat Oturakci3

  • 1Industrial Engineering Department, Adana Alparslan Türkeş Science and Technology University, Balcalı Mahallesi, Çatalan Caddesi, No:201/5 01250, Sarıçam/Adana, Turkey. cdagsuyu@atu.edu.tr.

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Summary

This study introduces a model to minimize cold chain risks by integrating analytical hierarchy and failure mode analysis. It optimizes actions within budget and time constraints, improving product safety and quality.

Keywords:
Cold chainFailure mode and effect analysisMathematical modelRisk assessmentanalytical hierarchy process

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Area of Science:

  • Supply Chain Management
  • Risk Management
  • Operations Research

Background:

  • The cold chain is critical for temperature-sensitive products, ensuring human health and quality of life.
  • Failures in the cold chain can lead to product deterioration, causing illness, death, and economic loss.
  • Different stages of the cold chain present varying risk levels, necessitating targeted mitigation strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop an integrated mathematical model for optimizing risk reduction in the cold chain.
  • To maximize weighted risk reduction while considering finite company resources (budget and time).
  • To provide a framework for prioritizing actions to mitigate cold chain hazards effectively.

Main Methods:

  • Integration of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) for risk prioritization.
  • Application of Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) to identify and assess potential failures.
  • Development of a mathematical model to optimize action selection under budget and time constraints.
  • Scenario analysis to evaluate different resource allocation levels.

Main Results:

  • The proposed model successfully maximized the weighted risk reduction amount.
  • Optimal solutions were identified at specific workforce and budget levels through scenario analyses.
  • The study demonstrated that implementing 5 strategic actions can lead to improvements across 14 identified hazards.
  • The approach was validated through application with a 3PL service provider.

Conclusions:

  • The integrated AHP and FMEA model offers an effective approach to managing cold chain risks.
  • Resource constraints (budget and time) can be effectively managed to achieve maximum risk reduction.
  • Prioritizing actions based on this model enhances the overall safety and integrity of the cold chain.