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Impact of Population Emigration from Wuhan and Medical Support on COVID-19 Infection in China

Yang Yao1, Yao Tian1, Jing Zhou1

  • 1Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710077, PR China.

Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health
|February 19, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Population movement from Wuhan influenced COVID-19 outbreaks nationwide. Enhanced medical support significantly boosted patient recovery rates, improving the overall cure rate for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak originated in Wuhan.
  • Understanding factors influencing COVID-19 spread and outcomes is critical.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the impact of medical support and population emigration from Wuhan on COVID-19 cure rates and mortality in China.
  • To provide early warnings for the developmental trend of the COVID-19 epidemic.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from national and provincial health commissions in China.
  • Employed Poisson distribution and normal approximation for statistical analysis.
  • Analyzed the relationship between population emigration and outbreak probability, and predicted epidemic trends.

Main Results:

  • Population emigration from Wuhan was linked to outbreaks in 87% of Hubei cities and 76% of other Chinese provinces.
  • Medical support demonstrated a significant positive correlation with improved COVID-19 cure rates (r = 0.852, p < 0.001).
  • Identified Guangdong and Henan as key provinces for epidemic prevention efforts.

Conclusions:

  • Population emigration from Wuhan significantly influenced the probability of COVID-19 outbreaks across China.
  • Medical support plays a crucial role in enhancing the cure rate for patients with COVID-19.
Abstract

Keywords:
COVID-19Wuhan emigrationcure ratedevelopmental trendmedical support

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