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Mortality risk stratification using artificial intelligence-augmented electrocardiogram in cardiac intensive care
Jacob C Jentzer1,2, Anthony H Kashou3, Francisco Lopez-Jimenez1
1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
An artificial intelligence-electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm can predict mortality risk in cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patients. This AI-ECG tool provides prognostic value beyond traditional echocardiography, aiding in risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Artificial Intelligence
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) is a critical condition impacting cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patient outcomes.
- Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) is the standard for assessing LVSD, but advanced algorithms may offer complementary insights.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate if an artificial intelligence-augmented electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm can stratify mortality risk in CICU patients.
- To determine if AI-ECG risk stratification is independent of LVSD detection by TTE.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 11,266 CICU patients from Mayo Clinic (2007-2018) with AI-ECG.
- Extraction of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) data from TTE for patients with available data.
- Multivariable logistic regression used to analyze hospital mortality, adjusting for LVEF.
Main Results:
- Higher AI-ECG probability of LVSD correlated with increased hospital mortality (aOR 1.05 per 0.1 higher, P=0.003), independent of LVEF.
- Lower LVEF (by TTE) was inversely related to hospital mortality (aOR 0.96 per 5% higher, P=0.02).
- A stepwise increase in hospital mortality was observed across true negative, false positive, false negative, and true positive AI-ECG predictions compared to TTE.
Conclusions:
- AI-ECG prediction of LVSD is significantly associated with hospital mortality in CICU patients.
- The AI-ECG algorithm provides valuable risk stratification beyond echocardiographic LVEF.
- Electrocardiographic patterns recognized by AI-ECG hold significant prognostic value for underlying myocardial disease.
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