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Issue alignment and partisanship in the American public: Revisiting the 'partisans without constraint' thesis
Austin C Kozlowski1, James P Murphy2
1Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, USA.
American public opinion has become significantly more ideological since 2004. Recent data shows increased issue alignment and stronger links between partisanship and attitudes, particularly on economic matters.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Public Opinion Research
- American Politics
Background:
- Previous research indicated gradual partisan sorting but limited ideological consistency in the late 20th century.
- The concept of "culture wars" often emphasizes moral issues as drivers of polarization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To reassess trends in American public opinion using recent data.
- To investigate the ideological organization and issue alignment of the American electorate in the early 21st century.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the American National Election Studies (ANES) data from 2004 to 2016.
- Examination of correlations between political attitudes across a broad set of issues.
- Assessment of changes in the association between partisanship and issue attitudes.
Main Results:
- A striking increase in the ideological organization of American public opinion was observed from 2004 to 2016.
- Issue alignment grew rapidly, most notably in economic and civil rights domains, not primarily moral issues.
- Economic issues showed increased correlation across the electorate, and the link between partisanship and issue attitudes accelerated.
Conclusions:
- The American electorate is increasingly ideological, not just partisan.
- Issue alignment, particularly on economic matters, is a key feature of contemporary American public opinion.
- Findings challenge the emphasis on moral issues in current "culture wars" debates.
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