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Internet of Things Enabled Financial Crisis Prediction in Enterprises Using Optimal Feature Subset Selection-Based

Noura Metawa1, Phong Thanh Nguyen2, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To Nguyen3

  • 1Faculty of Commerce, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt.

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|May 25, 2021
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a novel financial crisis prediction model for small and medium-sized enterprises. It uses optimal feature selection and an optimized classification approach to accurately forecast business failure.

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classificationenterprisesfeature selectionfinancial crisis predictionmachine learning

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Area of Science:

  • Business Analytics
  • Computational Finance
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Accurate forecasting of business failure and financial crises is crucial for small- to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
  • Existing prediction models may lack the precision required for timely intervention.
  • The integration of advanced computational techniques offers potential for improved financial risk assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate an optimal feature selection (FS)-based classification model for financial crisis prediction (FCP) in SMEs.
  • To enhance the accuracy and reliability of financial distress forecasting.
  • To provide an effective tool for early detection of potential business failures.

Main Methods:

  • Data acquisition using Internet of Things (IoT) devices.
  • Pigeon-Inspired Optimization (PIO) for optimal feature selection.
  • Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) classification optimized by Jaya Optimization (JO) algorithm (JO-XGB).

Main Results:

  • The proposed PIO-JO-XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance in financial crisis prediction.
  • Experimental validation confirmed the model's effectiveness compared to existing methods.
  • The feature selection and optimized classification significantly improved prediction accuracy.

Conclusions:

  • The developed PIO-JO-XGBoost model is an effective tool for financial crisis prediction in SMEs.
  • The combination of PIO for FS and JO for XGBoost optimization enhances predictive capabilities.
  • This approach offers a robust solution for mitigating financial risks in businesses.