Measurement of Klebsiella Intestinal Colonization Density To Assess Infection Risk

Klebsiella pneumoniae and the closely related species K. variicola and K. quasipneumoniae are common causes of health care-associated infections, and patients frequently become infected with their intestinal colonizing strain. To assess the association between Klebsiella colonization density and subsequent infections, a case-control study was performed. A multiplex quantitative PCR (qPCR) assay was developed and validated to quantify Klebsiella (K. pneumoniae, K. variicola, and K. quasipneumoniae combined) relative to total bacterial DNA copies in rectal swabs. Cases of Klebsiella infection were identified based on clinical definitions and having a clinical culture isolate and a preceding or coincident colonization isolate with the same wzi capsular sequence type. Controls were colonized patients without subsequent infection and were matched 2:1 to cases based on age, sex, and rectal swab collection date. qPCR from rectal swab samples was used to measure the association between the relative abundance of Klebsiella and subsequent infections. The Klebsiella relative abundance by qPCR was highly correlated with 16S sequencing (ρ = 0.79; P < 0.001). The median Klebsiella relative abundance was higher in cases (15.7% [interquartile range {IQR}, 0.93 to 52.6%]) (n = 83) than in controls (1.01% [IQR, 0.02 to 12.8%]) (n = 155) (P < 0.0001). Adjusting for multiple clinical covariates using inverse probability of treatment weighting, a Klebsiella relative abundance of >22% was associated with infection overall (odds ratio [OR], 2.87 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.64 to 5.03]) (P = 0.0003) and with bacteremia in a secondary analysis (OR, 4.137 [95% CI, 1.448 to 11.818]) (P = 0.0084). Measurement of colonization density by qPCR could represent a novel approach to identify hospitalized patients at risk for Klebsiella infection. IMPORTANCE Colonization by bacterial pathogens often precedes infection and offers a window of opportunity to prevent these infections in the first place. Klebsiella colonization is significantly and reproducibly associated with subsequent infection; however, factors that enhance or mitigate this risk in individual patients are unclear. This study developed an assay to measure the density of Klebsiella colonization, relative to total fecal bacteria, in rectal swabs from hospitalized patients. Applying this assay to 238 colonized patients, a high Klebsiella density, defined as >22% of total bacteria, was significantly associated with subsequent infection. Based on widely available PCR technology, this type of assay could be deployed in clinical laboratories to identify patients at an increased risk of Klebsiella infections. As novel therapeutics are developed to eliminate pathogens from the gut microbiome, a rapid Klebsiella colonization density assay could identify patients who would benefit from this type of infection prevention intervention.