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A Dynamic Risk Appraisal Model and Its Application in VTS Based on a Cellular Automata Simulation Prediction.

Yongfeng Suo¹, Zhihong Sun², Christophe Claramunt³

¹Navigation College, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China.

Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)

|July 24, 2021

Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

This study presents a cellular automata (CA) model for real-time maritime traffic risk assessment in ports. The approach enhances decision support for Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) amidst increasing maritime traffic.

Keywords:

VTS cellular automata risk appraisal traffic prediction traffic simulation

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Area of Science:

Maritime Safety
Artificial Intelligence
Risk Management

Background:

Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) effectiveness depends on human decision-making.
Increasing maritime traffic necessitates advanced support for dynamic risk assessment and decision-making.
Current methods may not adequately address real-time risks in complex port environments.

Purpose of the Study:

To introduce a cellular automata (CA) simulation-based model for analyzing and evaluating real-time maritime traffic risks in port environments.
To enhance decision support systems for Vessel Traffic Services (VTS).
To provide a robust framework for dynamic risk appraisals in maritime traffic.

Main Methods:

Design of a CA model to simulate and monitor ship behavior and maritime fairway traffic.
Integration of a cloud model with expert knowledge to refine the CA simulation.
Development of a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation-based risk assessment model.

Main Results:

Experimental validation of the CA model in a typical port scenario.
Demonstration of the model's efficiency and operationality in real-time risk assessment.
Successful integration of ship behavior monitoring, cloud modeling, and fuzzy logic for risk evaluation.

Conclusions:

The proposed CA simulation-based model effectively analyzes and evaluates real-time maritime traffic risks.
The integrated approach offers a sound support system for dynamic risk appraisals and VTS decision-making.
This methodology enhances maritime safety and operational efficiency in busy port areas.