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How will mosquitoes adapt to climate warming?
Lisa I Couper1, Johannah E Farner1, Jamie M Caldwell1,2
1Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, United States.
Elife
|August 17, 2021
Summary
Species can adapt to climate change through evolution, especially short-lived insects like mosquitoes. Understanding this adaptive potential is key for predicting impacts and preparing for public health challenges.
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary biology
- Climate change adaptation
- Ecology
Background:
- Species persistence under climate change is a critical question.
- Short-lived ectotherms, including pests and disease vectors, may adapt readily.
- Accurate predictive modeling and public health preparedness rely on understanding climate adaptation potential.
Purpose of the Study:
- To demonstrate the utility of evolutionary rescue models for assessing climate adaptation potential.
- To investigate the thermal adaptation of mosquitoes as a case study.
- To explore the implications of climate adaptation for disease transmission.
Main Methods:
- Synthesized current evidence on mosquito thermal adaptation.
- Utilized theoretical framework of evolutionary rescue models.
- Proposed common garden and selection experiments to fill knowledge gaps.
- Examined disease transmission dynamics using a case study of Aedes aegypti and dengue virus.
Main Results:
- Short generation times, high population growth, and strong selection favor mosquito thermal adaptation.
- Significant knowledge gaps exist regarding genetic variation, selection sensitivity, and plasticity.
- Mosquito adaptation can have consequences for disease transmission.
Conclusions:
- Evolutionary rescue models provide a framework for assessing climate adaptation in pest and vector species.
- Further research is needed to quantify adaptive potential and its ecological consequences.
- This approach is applicable to various species and environmental changes.
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