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Relation Between Scouting Combine and Game Performance Among Defensive National Players in the Canadian Football
Danny M Pincivero1, Joshua Vandeweerd2
1Kinesiology Program, University of Guelph-Humber, Toronto, Canada; and.
Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research
|September 27, 2021
Summary
Canadian Football League defensive players' combine results predict some aspects of game performance. Fitness testing, like the 40-yard dash and broad jump, showed moderate predictability for linemen and linebackers, but not defensive backs.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Performance Analysis
- Canadian Football
Background:
- Assessing athletic potential is crucial for professional sports.
- The Canadian Football League (CFL) utilizes the National Scouting Combine (NSC) to evaluate prospective players.
- Understanding the predictive validity of combine metrics for on-field performance is essential for talent identification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between National Scouting Combine (NSC) fitness testing results and draft order.
- To determine the correlation between combine performance, draft position, and subsequent professional game statistics for defensive players in the CFL.
- To assess the predictive accuracy of specific combine drills for different defensive positions.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of data from 2006-2019 for defensive players attending the NSC.
- Collected data included height, body mass, 40-yard dash, bench press, vertical jump, broad jump, and shuttle run.
- Calculated averaged Z-scores (Zavg) for combine results and used multiple regression analyses to assess predictive relationships.
Main Results:
- Draft order was significantly predicted by the 40-yard dash and Zavg for defensive linemen, Zavg for linebackers, and broad jump for defensive backs.
- Broad jump and 40-yard dash predicted tackles per game for defensive linemen.
- Draft order and broad jump predicted performance metrics for linebackers, but no NSC results or draft order predicted defensive back performance.
Conclusions:
- National Scouting Combine (NSC) testing demonstrates low-to-moderate predictive value for the future performance of CFL defensive linemen and linebackers.
- Specific combine metrics, such as the 40-yard dash and broad jump, offer insights into potential success for certain defensive positions.
- The predictive utility of combine testing appears limited for defensive backs in the CFL.
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