Hepatopancreatobiliary readmission score out performs administrative LACE+ index as a predictive tool of readmission

This study aims to compare the LACE + readmission index to a novel hepatopancreatobiliary readmission risk score (HRRS) in predicting post-operative hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) cancer patient readmissions.

A retrospective review of 104 postoperative HPB cancer patients from January 2017 to July of 2019 was performed. Univariable and multivariable analyses were utilized.

The LACE + index did not predict 30-day (OR 1.01, 95% CI, 0.97-1.05, p = 0.81, c-statistic = 0.52) or 90-day (OR 1.02, 95% CI, 0.98-1.05, p = 0.43) readmission. Patients readmitted within 30 days had significantly increased HRRS scores compared to those who were not (0 vs 34, p < 0.001). A single unit increase in HRRS corresponded to a 6.5% increased risk of readmission; (OR 1.065, 95% CI, 1.038-1.094, p < 0.0001). HRRS independently predicted 30-day (OR 1.07, 95% CI, 1.04-1.11, p < 0.0001) and 90-day postoperative readmission (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.08, p < 0.0001).

HRRS better predicts postoperative readmissions for HPB surgical patients compared to LACE+. Accurate assessment of postoperative readmission must include readmission scores focused on clinically relevant perioperative parameters.