Biodiversity, resilience and the stability of evolutionary systems

Various macro-evolutionary phenomena, such as long-term stability punctuated by bursts of evolution, are difficult to explain via the micro-evolutionary process of weak selection acting steadily on individual mutations. In contrast, bursts of change are expected if evolutionary systems are complex and balanced, with occasional disruption of balance. Such disruption represents the collapse of resilience, akin to the snapping of an elastic band. It can be driven by external factors, or by self-propagating feedback loops internal to a system. Thus, evolutionary resilience could help explain how evolution generates broader patterns of biodiversity. We outline evidence and tests for this hypothesis, which emphasizes the processes balancing evolution, as urged fifty years ago in ecological genetics and via modern results in a range of systems.