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Updated: Oct 16, 2025

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Mechanistic Models for USP2 Dissolution Apparatus, Including Fluid Hydrodynamics and Sedimentation
Xavier Pepin1, Matéo Goetschy2, Susanna Abrahmsén-Alami3
1New Modalities and Parenteral Development, Pharmaceutical Technology & Development, Operations, AstraZeneca, Macclesfield, UK.
New hydrodynamic models improve in vitro dissolution prediction for immediate-release drugs by incorporating product particle size distribution (P-PSD) and accounting for factors like paddle speed and viscosity. These models enhance physiologically based biopharmaceutics models (PBBMs) for better in vivo predictions.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacokinetics and Drug Metabolism
- Pharmaceutical Sciences
- Biopharmaceutics
Background:
- Accurate in vitro dissolution is crucial for physiologically based biopharmaceutics models (PBBMs) to predict in vivo drug performance.
- Existing PBBMs require mechanistic integration of in vitro dissolution, capturing key determinants and batch-specific parameters for immediate-release products.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate new hydrodynamic (HD) models for predicting drug product dissolution.
- To integrate product particle size distribution (P-PSD) with factors like USP2 apparatus paddle speed and medium viscosity.
- To model the impact of formulation and drug sedimentation (coning) on dissolution.
Main Methods:
- Proposed new hydrodynamic (HD) models, including HDC-1 (with excipients) and HDC-2 (drug substance only), to predict coning.
- Parameterized and validated models using 166 dissolution experiments across 18 different drugs.
- Assessed predictive power using average fold error (AFE) and absolute average fold error (AAFE).
Main Results:
- HD model demonstrated satisfactory predictive power for dissolution rate (AFE: 0.85-1.15, AAFE: 1.08-1.28).
- HDC-1 model improved prediction precision by 2.46-fold compared to the HD model in cases of suspected coning.
- Validated models integrate USP2 paddle rotation, medium viscosity, and coning effects into P-PSD calculations.
Conclusions:
- The developed HD and HDC models enhance the accuracy of in vitro dissolution prediction for immediate-release formulations.
- Improved P-PSD calculations integrating hydrodynamic factors and coning will refine PBBM predictions.
- These advancements facilitate better prediction of prandial state effects on human drug exposure through in silico tools.
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