[Construction and evaluation of a model for predicting ischemic stroke risk in patients with sudden sensorineural

Fengxiang Bao1, Chengjun Yang2, Guohui Zhou3

  • 1Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery,the First Affiliated Hospital of Kangda College of Nanjing Medical University,the Affiliated Lianyungang Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University,the First People's Hospital of Lianyungang,Lianyungang,222061,China.

Insights

This study developed a risk prediction model for sudden sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL) complicated with ischemic stroke. The model effectively identifies patients at risk, aiding early clinical screening and intervention.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Otolaryngology
  • Cardiology

Background:

  • Sudden sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL) can be complicated by ischemic stroke, necessitating risk identification.
  • Predicting the risk of ischemic stroke in SNHL patients is crucial for timely intervention.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify factors associated with SNHL complicated by ischemic stroke.
  • To construct and validate a predictive model for ischemic stroke risk in SNHL patients.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 901 SNHL patients (2017-2020).
  • Univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors.
  • Development and internal validation of a risk prediction model using a 7:3 ratio split (modeling vs. validation groups).
  • Evaluation of model performance using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests and ROC curves.

Main Results:

  • Key independent risk factors identified: Age, NEUR, homocysteine (Hcy), FIB, TC-HDL-C, and cervical vascular plaque.
  • The prediction model demonstrated good performance with an area under the ROC curve of 0.846 in the modeling group and 0.847 in the validation group.
  • The model showed high sensitivity and specificity for predicting ischemic stroke risk in SNHL patients.

Conclusions:

  • A novel risk prediction model for ischemic stroke in SNHL patients has been developed.
  • The model exhibits strong predictive efficiency, supporting its use in clinical settings.
  • This tool can assist in early screening and intervention for SNHL patients at risk of ischemic stroke.

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