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Panel Associations Between Newly Dead, Healed, Recovered, and Confirmed Cases During COVID-19 Pandemic

Ming Guan1,2,3

  • 1International Issues Center, Xuchang University, No. 88 Road Bayi, Xuchang, Henan, China. gming0604@163.com.

Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health
|December 11, 2021
PubMed

Insights

This study confirms panel associations between newly dead, healed, and recovered cases with newly confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases globally. These findings aid in evaluating and controlling the COVID-19 pandemic

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Understanding the relationships between newly recovered (NR), newly healed (NH), newly confirmed (NC), and newly dead (ND) cases of COVID-19 is crucial for disease control.
  • Existing knowledge gaps necessitate exploring the panel associations among these key COVID-19 metrics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the panel associations of newly dead (ND), newly healed (NH), and newly recovered (NR) cases with newly confirmed (NC) cases of COVID-19.
  • To analyze these associations across different geographical regions including China, the USA, and globally.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized panel data from China, the USA, and global sources spanning from January 2020 to April 2021.
  • Employed various regression techniques including pooled regression, quantile regression, and random-effects models.
  • Conducted event study analyses to assess the impact of key events on newly confirmed cases (NC).

Main Results:

  • Descriptive analysis indicated higher ND/NC ratios in China compared to the USA and global averages.
  • Confirmed significant panel associations among ND, NH, NR, and NC across China, the USA, and globally.
  • Panel event studies revealed that key events had a greater influence on NC in the USA and globally than in China.

Conclusions:

  • The study validates the panel associations between newly dead, healed, and recovered cases and newly confirmed COVID-19 cases.
  • Regression outcomes provide insights for comparing the effectiveness of various COVID-19 control strategies worldwide.
  • Future research should focus on elucidating the underlying mechanisms driving these observed panel associations.
Abstract

Keywords:
Newly confirmed casesNewly dead casesNewly healed casesNewly recovered casesPanel associations

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