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Published on: November 2, 2020
Red blood cell distribution width and maximum left ventricular wall thickness predict poor outcomes in patients with
Jia Li1,2,3, Weidong Gao1, Jinxue Liu1
1Department of Cardiology, The Jiangmen Central Hospital, The Jiangmen Central Hospital of Sun Yat-Set University, Jiangmen, China.
Insights
Increased red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and maximum left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and mortality in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients. Combining RDW and MLVWT offers a more accurate prognostic model for HCM outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Medicine
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a complex genetic heart disease.
- Accurate prognostic markers are crucial for managing HCM patients.
- Existing prognostic models may not fully capture risk stratification needs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and maximum left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) in patients with HCM.
- To determine if combined RDW and MLVWT improve risk prediction for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and mortality in HCM.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort analysis of 300 HCM patients diagnosed between March 2014 and March 2019.
- Stratification based on MACE occurrence; use of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox regression models.
- Kaplan-Meier analysis to evaluate survival and MACE-free rates based on RDW and MLVWT levels.
Main Results:
- RDW, MLVWT, creatinine, and NT-ProBNP levels differed significantly between MACE and non-MACE groups (P < .05).
- Multivariate analysis identified RDW (> .13) and MLVWT (> 23 mm) as independent predictors of all-cause mortality and MACE.
- Combined RDW and MLVWT demonstrated high predictive accuracy (AUC .823 for mortality, .820 for MACE).
Conclusions:
- Elevated RDW and MLVWT are independently associated with increased MACE incidence and mortality risk in HCM patients.
- The combination of RDW and MLVWT provides a more robust predictive model for HCM outcomes than individual markers.
- This study offers a basis for timely intervention in high-risk HCM patients identified by these biomarkers.
Aim:
To evaluate the prognostic utility of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and maximum left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).
Patients And Methods:
This study is a retrospective cohort analysis. Patients diagnosed with HCM at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from March 2014 to March 2019 were included. HCM patients were stratified into two groups based on the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then constructed and Cox regression models were employed to gauge the prognostic relevance of RDW and MLVWT for HCM patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis evaluated the survival and MACE-free rate in patients with different level of RDW and MLVWT.
Results:
A total of 300 patients with HCM were enrolled in this study and followed up for 40.56±18.33 months. Among them, 117 MACE (39.00%), 40 all-cause deaths (13.33%), and 29 cardiovascular deaths (9.67%). The level of RDW, MLVWT, creatinine (Cr), and B-type pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) were statistically different between the MACE group and non-MACE group (P < .05). Multivariate analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, RDW and MLVWT were independent predictors of all-cause mortality and MACE in HCM patients. ROC showed that RDW > .13 and MLVWT > 23 mm are the cut-off value to predict all-cause mortality and MACE. The area under the ROC curve AUC of the combination predicting the occurrence of all-cause mortality and MACE are .823 and .820, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the survival rate and MACE-free survival rate of group 1 (RDW≦.13 and MLVWT≦23 mm) were significantly higher than group 2 (RDW > .13 or MLVWT > 23 mm), and group 3 (RDW > .13 and MLVWT > 23 mm) (P = .000).
Conclusion:
We determined that increased RDW and MLVWT was independently associated with MACE incidence and risk of mortality in HCM patients. Combined evaluation of RDW and MLVWT yielded a more accurate predictive model of HCM patient outcomes relative to the use of either of these metrics in isolation. Our research can provide a theoretical basis in the occurrence of MACE for the high-risk HCM and intervene them properly and timely.
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