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Updated: Sep 27, 2025

Author Spotlight: Unlocking the Mysteries of Oral Potential Malignancies
Published on: August 11, 2023
Malignant Transformation Rate of Oral Submucous Fibrosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Vignesh Murthy1, Petros Mylonas2, Barbara Carey1
1Department of Oral Medicine, Guy's & St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London SE1 9RT, UK.
Oral submucous fibrosis (OSF), a potentially malignant disorder, has an overall 6% malignant transformation rate (MTR). This risk varies significantly by ethnicity, with Pakistani populations showing the highest MTR.
Area of Science:
- Oral Medicine
- Oncology
- Public Health
Background:
- Oral submucous fibrosis (OSF) is a chronic, progressive, potentially malignant disorder affecting the oral cavity and upper digestive tract.
- Understanding the malignant transformation rate (MTR) of OSF is crucial for risk assessment and management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the overall MTR of oral submucous fibrosis (OSF) by analyzing existing literature.
- To investigate variations in MTR based on ethnicity and geographic location.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective analysis of medical and dental literature from 1956 to 2021 was conducted.
- Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).
- A meta-analysis of a single proportion using a random effects model was performed.
Main Results:
- The overall MTR across all studies was 6% (95% CI, 0.02-0.10).
- Significant differences in MTR were observed among ethnic groups: Chinese (2%), Taiwanese (6%), Indian (8%), and Pakistani (27%).
- Geographic variations in MTR were noted but did not reach statistical significance.
Conclusions:
- Oral submucous fibrosis (OSF) carries a significant risk of malignant transformation, averaging 6%.
- Ethnicity is a critical factor influencing the MTR of OSF, highlighting the need for targeted surveillance.
- Further research is required to elucidate the specific factors contributing to these ethnic variations.
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