Increasing global supply chains' resilience after the COVID-19 pandemic: Empirical results from a Delphi study

COVID-19 has revealed global supply chains' vulnerability and sparked debate about increasing supply chain resilience (SCRES). Previous SCRES research has primarily focused on near-term responses to large-scale disruptions, neglecting long-term resilience approaches. We address this research gap by presenting empirical evidence from a Delphi study. Based on the resource dependence theory, we developed 10 projections for 2025 on promising supply chain adaptations, which were assessed by 94 international supply chain experts from academia and industry. The results reveal that companies prioritize bridging over buffering approaches as long-term responses for increasing SCRES. Promising measures include increasing risk criteria importance in supplier selection, supply chain collaboration, and supply chain mapping. In contrast, experts ascribe less priority to safety stocks and coopetition. Moreover, we present a stakeholder analysis confirming one of the resource dependence theory's central propositions for the future of global supply chains: companies differently affected by externalities will choose different countermeasures.