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Do Internal Migration Experiences Facilitate Migration Intentions and Behavior?

Aude Bernard1, Sunganani Kalemba1, Toan Nguyen2

  • 1Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Earth and Environmental Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Past migration experience significantly boosts future migration intentions and actions. The impact of prior moves grows with distance and frequency, highlighting migration as a life course trajectory.

Keywords:
Aspiration–abilityHILDA SurveyInternal migrationMigration historiesRepeat migration

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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Demography
  • Human Geography

Background:

  • Internal migration behavior is influenced by past experiences.
  • The specific role of prior migration in decision-making stages and distance effects remains unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To dynamically link migration experiences to the formation and realization of future internal migration intentions.
  • To investigate how past migration influences different stages of migration decision-making.
  • To examine the role of migration distance and frequency on future migration behavior.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized longitudinal microdata from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey.
  • Employed a two-step logistic regression approach to model migration intentions and their realization.
  • Differentiated between residential moves, onward interregional migration, and return interregional migration.

Main Results:

  • Migration experience positively correlates with both the formation and realization of migration intentions.
  • The effect of past migration strengthens with increased distance moved and number of prior migrations.
  • Past migration's influence is independent of social capital, refuting explanations based on social isolation.

Conclusions:

  • Migration experiences accumulate, predisposing individuals toward subsequent migration.
  • Internal migration should be viewed as a life course trajectory, not isolated events.
  • Past migration plays a crucial role in shaping future mobility patterns.