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NATIONAL ASSESSMENT OF PNEUMONIA MORBIDITY IN CHILDREN IN THE PERIOD 1993-2017 AND PROGNOSIS FOR 2025
Eugenia I Vezhnovets1, Yuriy B Yashchenko1, Vitalyi G Gurianov2
1STATE INSTITUTION OF SCIENCE «RESEARCH AND PRACTICAL CENTER OF PREVENTIVE AND CLINICAL MEDICINE» STATE ADMINISTRATIVE DEPARTMENT, KYIV, UKRAINE.
Insights
Pneumonia incidence in Ukrainian children aged 0-17 years remains high, exceeding European rates. Projections indicate a concerning rise in adolescent pneumonia by 2025, necessitating a national health strategy.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Pneumonia poses a significant public health challenge in Ukraine.
- Understanding national trends in pediatric pneumonia morbidity is crucial for effective intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze national pneumonia morbidity trends in Ukrainian children (0-17 years) from 1993-2017.
- To predict future pneumonia incidence dynamics up to 2025.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the Center for Medical Statistics of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine (1993-2017).
- Calculated pneumonia morbidity rates across distinct pediatric age groups (0-6, 7-14, 15-17 years).
Main Results:
- High pneumonia incidence observed in Ukrainian children (6.74–8.21 per 1000) between 1993-2017.
- Specific rates: 0-6 years (11.45–11.17), 7-14 years (4.65–6.46), 15-17 years (1.99–10.47).
- Ukrainian rates significantly surpassed those in European countries; projected 2025 rate for under-6s is 3.84 per 1000.
Conclusions:
- A significant increase in adolescent pneumonia morbidity is predicted by 2025.
- A national strategy for child and adolescent health improvement is essential.
- Policy and management measures are needed for effective pneumonia prevention and treatment.
Objective:
The aim: To assess national trends in the morbidity of pneumonia in children aged 0-6 years, 7-14 years and 15-17 years in the period from 1993 to 2017 and mathematically predict the dynamics of the morbidity in 2025.
Patients And Methods:
Materials and methods: Data from the Center for Medical Statistics of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine for the period 1993-2017 were used to calculate the morbidity rate of pneumonia in children aged 0-6 years, 7-14 and 15-17 years.
Results:
Result: The period from 1993 to 2017 is characterized by high incidence of pneumonia in children in Ukraine (from 6.74 to 8.21 per 1000). In children aged 0-6 years, the morbidity 1000 ranged from 11.45 to 11.17, in children aged 7-14 years - from 4.65 to 6.46, in adolescents aged 15-17 years - from 1.99 to 10.47 . In Ukraine, the morbidity rate has significantly exceeded the that in European countries. In 2025, the morbidity of children under 6 years old in Ukraine may make up 3.84 per 1,000.
Conclusion:
Conclusions: In Ukraine, a significant increase in the morbidity rate of pneumonia in adolescents is predicted by 2025. It is necessary to develop a national strategy to improve the health of children and adolescents to implement policy and management measures in the health care system, aimed at effective prevention and quality treatment of pneumonia in children and adolescents.
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