Futures Planning at the AAN: Approach and Initial Outcome.

Area of Science:

• Neurology
• Health Management
• Strategic Planning

Background:

• The American Academy of Neurology (AAN) implemented a strategic future forecasting process to anticipate changes in the field of neurology.
• The process involved AAN leadership and aimed to serve as a model for other organizations.

Purpose of the Study:

• To describe the AAN's strategic future forecasting process with a 2035 horizon.
• To identify common themes and potential future challenges and opportunities in neurology.
• To provide a model approach for other organizations to implement similar forecasting methods.

Main Methods:

• Utilized a structured future forecasting process with a 2035 horizon.
• Involved AAN Boards of Directors and Executive Team members, moderated by a forecasting consultant.
• Explored four predetermined scenarios (expectable, challenging, visionary) and developed alternative scenarios.

Main Results:

• Identified key themes: integration of biomedical and information technology in practice, demonstrating the value of neurologic care, and emphasis on population management and prevention.
• Highlighted the importance of structured forecasting in strategic planning for adapting to change, such as the COVID-19 pandemic.
• The process facilitated more effective preparation for future disruptions.

Conclusions:

• The AAN's structured forecasting approach enhances strategic planning and organizational readiness for future changes.
• The described methodology can be adopted by other organizations to improve their future preparedness.
• Key areas for future focus include technology integration, value demonstration, and preventive neurology.