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Informative prior on structural equation modelling with non-homogenous error structure
Oladapo A Olalude1, Bernard O Muse2, Oluwayemisi O Alaba1
1Department of Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Oyo State, +234, Nigeria.
Informative priors improve Bayesian structural equation models (BSEM) with heteroscedastic errors. The linear heteroscedastic model best handles non-equal variances, offering an alternative to classical methods.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Econometrics
- Psychometrics
Background:
- Homogeneous error structures in statistical models often unrealistically assume equal variances.
- Heteroscedasticity, or non-equal variances, is a common issue in real-world data.
- Bayesian structural equation modeling (BSEM) offers a flexible framework for complex data analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of informative priors on BSEM with heteroscedastic error structures.
- To evaluate different forms of heteroscedasticity within the BSEM framework.
- To compare Bayesian approaches with classical methods for handling non-equal variances.
Main Methods:
- Four distinct forms of heteroscedastic error structures were analyzed.
- Informative priors were updated to assess their influence.
- Simulations were conducted across various sample sizes (50, 100, 200, 500).
Main Results:
- Both posterior predictive probability (PPP) and log likelihood were significantly influenced by sample size and prior information.
- The linear form of heteroscedastic error structure demonstrated superior performance.
- The chosen Bayesian approach outperformed classical methods reliant solely on sample information.
Conclusions:
- The study successfully addressed heteroscedasticity of known forms using informative priors in BSEM.
- The linear heteroscedastic model is recommended for data violating the homogeneous variance assumption.
- This Bayesian method provides a robust alternative for handling non-equal variances in structural equation models.
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