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Survival Analysis Using the Covid-death Mean-imputation (CoDMI) Algorithm: A First Clinical Application in Radiation
Francesca DE Felice1, Luca Mazzoni2, Daniela Musio3
1Department of Radiotherapy, Policlinico Umberto I "Sapienza" University of Rome, Rome, Italy; francesca.defelice@uniroma1.it.
The Covid-death mean-imputation (CoDMI) algorithm provides unbiased survival estimates for locally advanced rectal cancer patients with Covid-19. This method corrects for Covid-19 deaths, ensuring accurate survival analysis in the pandemic era.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Biostatistics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) treatment outcomes are crucial.
- The Covid-19 pandemic introduced challenges in survival analysis due to excess mortality.
- Accurate survival estimation is vital for LARC patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To report long-term survival results for LARC patients treated with a trimodal approach during the Covid-19 pandemic.
- To demonstrate the clinical application of the Covid-death mean-imputation (CoDMI) algorithm for LARC patients with Covid-19 infection.
- To assess the impact of Covid-19 on survival data and propose a method for unbiased analysis.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 94 patients treated for primary LARC.
- Calculation of overall survival from diagnosis to the first event (death or last follow-up).
- Application of the CoDMI algorithm to impute expected lifetime for patients who died of Covid-19, using Kaplan-Meier estimates to correct for biased survival data.
Main Results:
- One patient died of Covid-19 (DoC) 52 months post-diagnosis; 16 died of disease (DoD); 77 were censored.
- The CoDMI algorithm estimated the DoC patient's survival to be 79.5 months, extending the observed 52 months.
- This imputation method corrects for the potential bias introduced by Covid-19 related deaths in survival estimations.
Conclusions:
- The CoDMI algorithm yields unbiased overall survival probability in LARC patients with Covid-19 infection.
- This approach enables proper interpretation and utilization of Covid-19 events in survival analyses.
- A user-friendly version of the CoDMI algorithm is publicly available for use in similar research.
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