Association between cold spells and serum lipid levels among the elders: a distributed-lagged effects analysis

Little evidence about the effects of cold spells on serum lipid levels is available. The aim of this study was to explore the association between cold spells and serum lipid levels among the elders in Jinan, China. Data of old adults from health check-up program in Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital was collected for this study. Linear mixed models combined with distributed lag nonlinear models were used to examine the relationship between cold spells and serum lipid levels, considering the confounding effects of age, sex, blood pressure, body mass index, and other meteorological factors. Subgroup analysis by gender and analysis based on different definitions of cold spells were also conducted. Increased TG levels in lag 0-lag 2 days and decreased TG levels in lag 5-lag 8 days after cold spells were observed among the elders. The largest increase was 0.363 mmol/L (95% CI: 0.184 ~ 0.543) in lag 0 day, while the largest decreased TG levels was 0.083 mmol/L (95% CI: 0.147 ~ 0.019) in lag 6 day. Similar results were obtained in the analysis of different sex and based on different definitions of cold spells. However, no significant association was found between cold spells with TC, LDL-C, and HDL-C. This study indicates that cold spells were significantly associated with serum TG levels in the elders. Effective preventive measures should be implemented around the cold spells to reduce the volatility of serum lipid levels and the occurrence of subsequent cardiovascular diseases.