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State-Level Variation in the Cumulative Prevalence of Child Welfare System Contact, 2015-2019
Youngmin Yi1, Frank Edwards2, Natalia Emanuel3
1University of Massachusetts Amherst.
Child welfare system involvement risks, including investigations, foster care, and termination of parental rights, vary significantly by state and race in the U.S. Black children face higher risks, while Asian children have lower risks across most states.
Area of Science:
- Child Welfare Research
- Public Health
- Sociology
Background:
- Child welfare system contact is prevalent in the U.S.
- Previous estimates lack geographic and racial/ethnic specificity.
- State and local administration of child welfare systems necessitates localized risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate cumulative state- and race/ethnicity-specific risks by age 18 for key child welfare events.
- To analyze geographic and racial/ethnic variations in these risks.
- To examine the relative prevalence of different child welfare involvement levels.
Main Methods:
- Utilized 2015-2019 data from national child welfare databases.
- Employed synthetic cohort life tables for risk estimation.
- Calculated risks for child protective services investigation, confirmed maltreatment, foster care placement, and termination of parental rights.
Main Results:
- State-level investigation risks varied from 14% to 63%.
- Confirmed maltreatment risks ranged from 3% to 27%, foster care placement from 2% to 18%, and parental rights termination from 0% to 8%.
- Significant racial/ethnic disparities were observed, with Black children having higher risks and Asian children lower risks, varying by state.
Conclusions:
- This study provides novel state- and race/ethnicity-specific lifetime risk estimates for child welfare involvement in the U.S.
- Findings highlight substantial geographic and racial/ethnic variations in children's exposure to the child welfare system.
- The differential prevalence of child welfare events underscores the need for targeted interventions and policies.
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