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Digit preference and biased conclusions in cardiac arrest studies
Frédéric Lapostolle1, Elodie Schneider1, Jean-Marc Agostinucci1
1SAMU 93, UF Recherche-Enseignement-Qualité, Université Paris 13, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Inserm U942, Hôpital Avicenne, APHP, 125, rue de Stalingrad, 93009 Bobigny, France.
Digit preference significantly impacts reported cardiac arrest (CA) times, skewing data towards multiples of 15. This bias necessitates caution when interpreting CA management studies not using automatic time recordings.
Area of Science:
- Emergency Medicine
- Medical Informatics
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Cardiac arrest (CA) prognosis is time-dependent, with delayed cardiopulmonary resuscitation increasing mortality.
- Reported times in CA management studies may be subject to
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the presence of digit preference bias in times of day related to cardiac arrest management.
- To assess if reported times in a national registry exhibit non-random patterns.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 47,211 times-of-day from 6,131 cardiac arrests in the French National Electronic Registry.
- Comparison of observed frequencies of times ending in 0 or 5 with expected random distribution.
- Statistical evaluation of overrepresentation of times as multiples of 15.
Main Results:
- Significant overrepresentation of times ending in 0 (e.g., :00) and 30 minutes.
- Times reported as multiples of 15 minutes (e.g., :00, :15, :30, :45) were significantly overrepresented.
- Observed frequencies deviated significantly from expected random distribution (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
- Digit preference phenomenon demonstrably influences prospectively collected times in cardiac arrest management.
- Caution is advised when interpreting studies relying on non-automatic time recordings without bias assessment.
- This bias can affect the accuracy of time-sensitive data in emergency medicine research.
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