Risk factors for mortality and clinical presentation of monkeypox

To describe risk factors for mortality and clinical characteristics in patients with mpox infection at a reference hospital in Mexico.

A prospective cohort study was conducted from September to December 2022 at Hospital de Infectología La Raza National Medical Center.

Study participants were patients that met operational definition of confirmed case of mpox according to WHO criteria. Information was obtained through a case report form that included epidemiological, clinical, and biochemical information. The follow-up period was from initial evaluation for hospitalization until discharge due to clinical improvement or death. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.

Seventy-two patients were included in the analysis, 64 of 72 (88.9%) were people with HIV (PWH). Of the total of patients 71 of 72 (98.6%) were male, with a median age of 32 years old [95% confidence interval (CI), interquartile range (IQR) 27-37]. Coinfection with sexually transmitted infections was reported in 30 of 72 (41.7%). The overall mortality was five of 72 (6.9%). The incidence of mortality rate in PWH was 6.3%. Median days from onset of symptoms to death from any cause during hospitalization was 50 days (95% CI, IQR 38-62). Risk factors for mpox mortality in the bivariate analysis were CD4 + cells count ≤100 cells/μl at the time of assessment RR 20 (95% CI, IQR 6.6-60.2) ( P  < 0.001), absence of antiretroviral therapy RR 6.6 (95% CI, IQR 3.6-12.1) ( P  = 0.001) and ≥50 skin lesions at presentation RR 6.4 (95% CI, IQR 2.6-15.7) ( P  = 0.011).

The clinical presentation between PWH and non-HIV patients was similar in this study, however, reported mortality was associated with advanced-HIV disease.