[Evaluation Method and Application for Urban Carbon Peaking & Neutrality Performance]

As the key unit of greenhouse gas emission sources, cities have the most direct and fundamental significance to achieve the national carbon peaking carbon neutrality goal. In order to evaluate the current performance of urban carbon peaking and neutrality, a set of urban peaking and carbon neutrality action index evaluation systems consisting of three criterion layers, seven elements, and fourteen specific index layers were developed based on the analytic hierarchy process considering the preferences of decision makers, through the steps of influencing factor determination, indicator selection, and scoring principle determination, as well the indicator weightings. Thus, a relatively comprehensive scientific evaluation method was formed to fully evaluate the attitude of the government towards the goal of carbon peaking and neutrality, the state of social economy, energy consumption, industrial structure, transportation, and other aspects, as well as the actual effect of emission reduction efficiency and trends. Through the central city evaluation application study, it was found that the first-tier economically developed and low-carbon pilot cities had a more outstanding comprehensive performance in reaching the peak and neutrality. The comprehensive scores of Beijing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Shanghai, Qingdao, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Xiamen, Kunming, and Lanzhou all exceeded 60 points. Beijing, Xiamen, Ningbo, Shenzhen, and Qingdao had significant climate ambitions, whereas Haikou, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Nanning, and Beijing had a better low-carbon status. Kunming, Lanzhou, Luoyang, Daqing, Jilin, and other cities showed significant emission reduction trends. Most cities still had problems such as insufficient willingness to reach the peak and lack of statistical information disclosure system. The evaluation method could be optimized by improving the index system, updating the empowerment, and forming the annual evaluation mechanism next step. It is suggested to formulate the local carbon reduction work plan by coordinating the whole country at different levels, improve the urban energy and greenhouse gas statistics and information disclosure system, and organize the carbon peaking pilot construction in areas where conditions permit.