Single-cell transcriptional uncertainty landscape of cell differentiation

Background: Single-cell studies have demonstrated the presence of significant cell-to-cell heterogeneity in gene expression. Whether such heterogeneity is only a bystander or has a functional role in the cell differentiation process is still hotly debated. Methods: In this study, we quantified and followed single-cell transcriptional uncertainty - a measure of gene transcriptional stochasticity in single cells - in 10 cell differentiation systems of varying cell lineage progressions, from single to multi-branching trajectories, using the stochastic two-state gene transcription model. Results: By visualizing the transcriptional uncertainty as a landscape over a two-dimensional representation of the single-cell gene expression data, we observed universal features in the cell differentiation trajectories that include: (i) a peak in single-cell uncertainty during transition states, and in systems with bifurcating differentiation trajectories, each branching point represents a state of high transcriptional uncertainty; (ii) a positive correlation of transcriptional uncertainty with transcriptional burst size and frequency; (iii) an increase in RNA velocity preceding the increase in the cell transcriptional uncertainty. Conclusions: Our findings suggest a possible universal mechanism during the cell differentiation process, in which stem cells engage stochastic exploratory dynamics of gene expression at the start of the cell differentiation by increasing gene transcriptional bursts, and disengage such dynamics once cells have decided on a particular terminal cell identity. Notably, the peak of single-cell transcriptional uncertainty signifies the decision-making point in the cell differentiation process.