Changes In Net Prices And Spending For Pharmaceuticals After The Introduction Of New Therapeutic Competition, 2011-19

Previous research has demonstrated that the introduction of a new brand-name pharmaceutical competitor does not lower list prices for existing competitive therapies. However, no study has systematically evaluated the impact of new therapeutic competition on net prices of pharmaceutical products. We identified new therapies approved during the period 2013-17 that were competitors for existing treatments. We used a novel peer-reviewed algorithm to estimate the net prices of existing therapies. We implemented regression models to estimate changes in these net prices after the approval of the new therapeutic competition during the period 2011-19. Across twelve therapeutic classes with new drug entrants in 2013-17, the introduction of new therapeutic competition was associated with a 4.2 percent decrease in annual net price growth. The introduction of new brand-name therapies in twelve therapeutic classes reduced net commercial spending on existing therapies by $10.4 billion-an 18.5 percent reduction in projected spending absent therapeutic competition. Our findings demonstrate that new therapeutic competition allows pharmacy benefit managers to use formulary management to decrease net prices and reduce drug spending, contrary to observed trends in list price increases.